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New AI Model Prithvi-Weather-Climate Improves Weather Forecasting


18 June, 2024

In a groundbreaking collaboration, NASA and IBM Research are on the brink of unveiling an innovative artificial intelligence model designed to enhance weather and climate forecasting. The groundbreaking model, named Prithvi-weather-climate, capitalizes on the power of AI to potentially transform our understanding and anticipation of weather phenomena.

The Prithvi-weather-climate foundational model represents a leap forward in climate technology. It operates on large-scale, foundational frameworks that are trained with extensive, varied datasets. The training data for this specific model was sourced from NASA’s own Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA-2), a repository that stores a wealth of climatological data.

Foundational models like Prithvi set themselves apart by their ability to learn and adapt. After the initial training on NASA data, the model uses AI learning capabilities to extend its pattern recognition across numerous scenarios, demonstrating a versatile application spectrum.

Karen St. Germain, the director of the Earth Science Division of NASA’s Science Mission Directorate, envisions the model as a boon to humanity’s grasp of Earth science. The urgency resulting from the planet’s rapid climate shifts is met by this initiative, bridging the gap between complex scientific data and pragmatic, actionable solutions for the public. These include weather patterns, seasonal shifts, and long-term climate projections that are vital in preparing and responding to environmental changes.

The intricate architecture of the Prithvi-weather-climate model allows researchers to embrace a variety of applications crucial to the science community. Essential services such as predicting severe weather events, customizing forecasts based on local data, refining spatial resolution in global climate simulations, and enhancing how physical processes are integrated into models are all within reach. With such improved capabilities, making informed decisions for disaster responsiveness and mitigation becomes ever more feasible.

NASA’s open sharing philosophy harmonizes with the collaborative spirit of this endeavor. “These transformative AI models are revolutionizing how we access and leverage data,” remarked Kevin Murphy, the Chief Science Data Officer at NASA. By making these tools broadly available, NASA’s investment in science extends its benefits globally.

The collaborative venture involved contributions from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and support from NASA’s Interagency Implementation and Advanced Siemens Concepts Team (IMPACT) at Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama. It’s this melding of minds and resources that allows the Prithvi-weather-climate to capture the nuances of atmospheric physics adeptly, even within the framework of incomplete information, and without quality loss at varying scales.

Rahul Ramachandran, who leads IMPACT, provided insights into NASA’s broader goals, “By nurturing a family of AI foundation models, we aim to complement our capability to extract valuable insights from the immense wealth of Earth observations we have.”

Prithvi-weather-climate is just one member of an extended model family, the Prithvi family, which includes other models trained on NASA’s Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 data streams. This latest model is a testament to shared innovation, in tune with NASA’s commitment to open science for widespread use.

The model is scheduled to be available later this year on Hugging Face, a leading platform in the machine learning and data science domain. This platform is designed to facilitate the construction, deployment, and refinement of machine learning models, providing a resource for researchers and developers.

As part of the push towards democratizing NASA’s science and observation mission, Tsendgar Lee, the Program Manager for NASA’s Research and Analysis Weather Focus Area, emphasizes the organization’s ongoing development of new technology. This technology plays a substantial role in climate scenario analysis and decision-making processes, underscoring the importance of advanced AI tools in modern science.

The team responsible for the development of this transformative AI model includes not just NASA’s Office of the Chief Science Data Officer and the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office at Goddard Space Flight Center, but also institutions like Oak Ridge National Laboratory and an array of universities including the University of Alabama in Huntsville, Colorado State University, and Stanford University. Through these collective efforts, the Prithvi-weather-climate model stands poised to reshape our approach to climate and weather-related challenges, offering a vision of a future where informed decisions stem from the latest ai news & AI tools at our disposal.